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About the project

Initiated and commissioned by the German Federal Foreign Office, the CCVI is created and evaluated in the context of a multi-year research effort.

Partners

The CCVI is a joint research collaboration between scientific partners at the University of the Bundeswehr Munich and the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research with the German Federal Foreign Office.

FutureLab - Security, Ethnic Conflicts and Migration at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Logo of Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)

As an interdisciplinary institute, PIK advances climate impact research for global sustainability and contributes to solutions for a safe and just climate future. Its FutureLab - Security, Ethnic Conflicts, and Migration conducts dedicated research on climate risks to human security.

Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) at the University of the Bundeswehr Munich
Logo of Center for Intelligence and Security Studies (CISS)

The Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) conducts quantitative research on crises and conflicts using innovative conceptual and methodological approaches, such as predictive analytics. Additionally, it supports the German Ministry of Defense and the GFFO in forecasting and assessing potential crises, enabling them to implement adequate preventive measures.

German Federal Foreign Office
German Federal Foreign Office logo

The CCVI was initiated and commissioned by the German Federal Foreign Office.


The design agency Truth & Beauty provides support in user research, science communication and data visualization.

Project timeline

  • Pre-project

    October 2022

    Launch of precursor project "Climate Conflict", now archived at 2022.climate-conflict.org

  • Project start

    January 2023

    Start of current CCVI research project

  • Public launch

    October 2024

    The first public version with data from Q2-2024 is available.

  • Open source version

    Early 2025

    Release of code as open source version.

  • Evaluation and ongoing improvements

    2024–2025

    The index is evaluated, continuously improved and updated with quarterly data updates.

  • Stable, validated index

    End 2025

    All project documentation and outputs are available in a stable, validated form.

Get in touch

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