About the project
Initiated and commissioned by the German Federal Foreign Office, the CCVI is created and evaluated in the context of a multi-year research effort.
Partners
The CCVI is a joint research collaboration between scientific partners at the University of the Bundeswehr Munich and the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research with the German Federal Foreign Office.
As an interdisciplinary institute, PIK advances climate impact research for global sustainability and contributes to solutions for a safe and just climate future. Its FutureLab - Security, Ethnic Conflicts, and Migration conducts dedicated research on climate risks to human security.
The Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) conducts quantitative research on crises and conflicts using innovative conceptual and methodological approaches, such as predictive analytics. Additionally, it supports the German Ministry of Defense and the GFFO in forecasting and assessing potential crises, enabling them to implement adequate preventive measures.
The CCVI was initiated and commissioned by the German Federal Foreign Office.
The design agency Truth & Beauty provides support in user research, science communication and data visualization.
Project timeline
Pre-project
October 2022Launch of precursor project "Climate Conflict", now archived at 2022.climate-conflict.org
Project start
January 2023Start of current CCVI research project
Public launch
October 2024The first public version is available.
Open source version
Early 2025Release of code as open source version.
Evaluation and ongoing improvements
2024–2025The index is evaluated, continuously improved and updated with quarterly data updates.
Stable, validated index
End 2025All project documentation and outputs are available in a stable, validated form.
Milestones
Key moments and milestones on our journey to develop the Climate Conflict Vulnerability Index (CCVI).
Open source release
All pre-processing code for the CCVI is published under an open source license. The code is available on GitHub and can be used to reproduce and adjust the data processing steps. We also publish an interactive notebook with a step-by-step guide on how to work with the data.
Evaluation workshops with local experts
We conducted workshops with 15 experts in the Horn of Africa region to evaluate the CCVI. Their inputs from local knowledge and experience are currently used to improve and enhance the CCVI.
Public launch
The public launch of the CCVI took place at the sixth Berlin Climate Security Conference, where the German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock presented the index. A recording of the event is available in German language as well as in English translation.
Get in touch
Please reach out in case you have any questions or feedback. We are happy to help.
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Climate—Conflict—Vulnerability Index